Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 298.318833 337.875888 381.977824 435.022363 497.394251 568.773334 657.169120
2025-06-01 237.826115 288.856982 350.923390 432.873379 539.590813 675.761942 865.797033
2025-06-08 202.230943 256.543553 326.331365 424.231589 560.733601 748.518159 1034.047552
2025-06-15 180.239358 236.775500 312.731370 424.766351 590.274693 833.314916 1232.282486
2025-06-22 160.267832 216.473399 294.733685 414.989065 601.381668 890.663953 1398.281614
2025-06-29 146.608344 203.020433 284.145600 413.564128 623.329015 966.424063 1608.722896
2025-07-06 131.140184 185.174009 264.878153 395.882569 616.022178 991.934619 1734.915745
2025-07-13 126.059051 182.066919 267.167246 412.056327 666.270413 1123.710124 2090.891068
2025-07-20 121.974262 179.950835 270.547454 430.089990 722.014936 1275.258113 2527.749246
2025-07-27 115.239687 172.990683 265.336527 432.581482 749.599328 1377.624900 2887.007948
2025-08-03 106.848839 162.638251 253.514638 421.884723 750.417761 1425.701049 3133.086211
2025-08-10 99.865748 154.029595 243.831288 413.891586 755.196370 1482.642970 3417.725351
2025-08-17 96.791309 151.837808 245.205230 427.121406 805.984399 1653.498813 4069.394116
2025-08-24 91.656513 145.759528 239.235052 425.647646 825.937466 1758.486030 4579.359031
2025-08-31 86.016397 138.370026 230.242720 417.120459 829.095864 1823.376912 4993.636566
2025-09-07 82.149060 133.804409 226.001042 417.650452 852.613511 1944.763902 5643.132477
2025-09-14 77.306197 127.159287 217.341118 408.072587 851.198077 2000.286124 6090.773730
2025-09-21 73.888922 122.864738 212.787419 406.676778 869.154575 2113.244396 6806.101961
2025-09-28 68.855456 115.296869 201.388131 389.354010 845.479532 2102.556368 7032.439041
2025-10-05 67.980379 115.380512 204.901976 405.199704 908.019930 2362.436023 8536.639741
2025-10-12 67.295348 115.761622 209.014589 422.864165 978.567075 2668.436782 10473.736805
2025-10-19 65.077817 113.061458 206.666096 425.304372 1008.437813 2850.950969 11944.335102
2025-10-26 61.762177 108.039894 199.184429 414.827323 1000.606156 2902.601745 12751.914384